World Economic Outlook, April 2018

The upswing in global investment and trade continued in the second half of 2017. At 3.8 percent, global growth in 2017 was the fastest since 2011. With financial conditions still supportive, global growth is expected to tick up to a 3.9 percent rate in both 2018 and 2019. Advanced economies will grow faster than potential this year and next; euro area economies are set to narrow excess capacity with support from accommodative monetary policy, and expansionary fiscal policy will drive the US economy above full employment. Aggregate growth in emerging market and developing economies is...

Las perspectivas económicas mundiales han mejorado de nuevo, pero el carácter accidentado de la recuperación y la combinación asimétrica de políticas macroeconómicas en las economías avanzadas están complicando la formulación de políticas en las economías de mercados emergentes. El capítulo 3 examina las perspectivas con respecto a la inflación, especialmente debido a que la inflación se mantuvo notablemente estable antes de la Gran Recesión y, de hecho, ha sido menos sensible a las condiciones cíclicas. El capítulo 4 examina la probabilidad de que los países de bajo...

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between...

Major macroeconomic realignments are affecting prospects differentially across the world’s countries and regions. The April 2016 WEO examines the causes and implications of these realignments—including the slowdown and rebalancing in China, a further decline in commodity prices, a related slowdown in investment and trade, and declining capital flows to emerging market and developing economies—which are generating substantial uncertainty and affecting the outlook for the global economy. Additionally, analytical chapters examine the slowdown in capital flows to emerging market economies...

La actual concentración del poder digital en unas pocas compañías (Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple o Microsoft) no solamente está generando nuevas formas de poder y control que exacerban las ya existentes, sino que además crea nuevas formas de exclusión y periferia. Es el fin de la luna de miel digital. A través de la voz de diferentes expertos internacionales esta obra profundiza en cuestiones como: ¿qué hacer para revertir las actuales asimetrías de poder?, ¿quién observa a los que nos observan?, ¿podemos pensar en tecnologías con un enfoque (más) humano?, o ¿acepto los...

A mediados de la década de los 80, Michael E. Gerber publicó El mito revisado, del cual se han vendido más de 4 millones de copias en todo el mundo y se ha traducido a más de 20 idiomas. En él, se recogía la falsa creencia de que alguien con unas habilidades técnicas determinadas puede crear su propia empresa y tener éxito. Es la condena de las PYMES y de los pequeños emprendedores, ya que solo sobrevive el 10% de las pequeñas y medianas empresas que nacen en todo el mundo. Ahora, 20 años después y en el contexto de una crisis y un cambio de paradigma económico, Gerber selecciona ...

Economics went through great development in the 20th century. This development, which was based mainly on mathematical methods, is not an appropriate method of analyzing markets that change every hour and every day. In a stock market, prices constantly change depending on speculation. U-Mart, a manmade market, has been proposed in order to study such instantly moving markets. Although the U-Mart system is internationally acclaimed for being at the forefront of market research, its use is by no means limited to a small number of researchers on the fringe. The whole system, including its source ...

The best-selling author of The 7 Habits of Highly Effective Teens outlines a proven formula for achieving goals, explaining how individuals and organizations can hone four execution-based skills in areas of focus, documentation and accountability. 250,000 first printing.